Match Info

Serie D - Round 1

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Guaporé		Independência

	1	X	2
	1.47	3.55	6.9
	1.49	3.6	7.07
	1.5	3.55	7.13	Watch
	1.5	3.25	7
	1.46	3.5	7.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.92)	3.49 ↑ (3.11)	7.15 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaporé
61.2%

Draw
26%

Independência
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

29.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

28.1%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaporé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guaporé's performance.

Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independência might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaporé than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guaporé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independência could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guaporé - Independência Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Guaporé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guaporé will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaporé won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaporé FC
Brazilian Copa Norte
25.03.26	Independência - Guaporé	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
12.03.26	Guaporé - Rondoniense	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
05.03.26	Juventude - Guaporé	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Rondoniense
22.02.26	Guaporé - Genus de Porto Velho	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Galvez - Guaporé	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTLWW
- Independência FC
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.03.26	Independência - Nacional AM	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Independência - Guaporé	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
05.03.26	Independência - Galvez	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Senador Guiomard - Independência	0:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Independência	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Norte
25.03.26	Independência - Guaporé	0:0

Guaporé - Independência