Match Info
Serie D - Round 10Date: 14 June 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Independência |
|
Guaporé |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.60 |
3.20 |
2.35 |
|
 |
2.60 |
3.10 |
2.48 |
|
 |
2.75 |
3.20 |
2.31 |
|
 |
2.97 |
2.77 |
2.57 |
 Watch |
 |
2.60 |
3.25 |
2.30 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↑
(2.55) |
3.1
(3.1) |
2.44 ↓
(2.6) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Independência
33.7% | Draw
29.1% | Guaporé
37.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Guaporé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independência than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaporé than the current prediction. (-1.6%)Independência - Guaporé Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Igor Goularte ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Watthimen ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 2, Ancelmo ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 2 - 2, Caique Gomes ⚽,
Preview
Independência is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).Guaporé has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Recently, Independência has had a series of home games.Recently, Guaporé has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Independência won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).Including home match between the teams, Independência won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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