Match Info

Date: 22 August 2021, Sunday


	Guaraní de Trinidad		Deportivo Capiatá

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.9	2.2
	2.4	4	2.3
	2.41	3.8	2.31
	2.55	3.68	2.42
	2.55	3.78	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.28)	3.83 ↑ (2.95)	2.29 ↓ (2.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní de Trinidad
36.7%

Draw
23.7%

Deportivo Capiatá
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

30.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

22.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní de Trinidad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Deportivo Capiatá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Capiatá's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní de Trinidad than the current prediction. (+16.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní de Trinidad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Capiatá than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Capiatá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.4%	17.9%	35.7%

Guaraní de Trinidad - Deportivo Capiatá Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Guaraní de Trinidad will win (votes: 13 - 46.4%). Deportivo Capiatá will win (votes: 10 - 35.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guaraní de Trinidad: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 16).

Recent matches Guaraní de Trinidad is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Capiatá is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportivo Capiatá could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Deportivo Capiatá have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní de Trinidad
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
07.08.21	Guaraní de Trinidad - Club General Díaz	1:0 ✺
01.08.21	Independiente Asuncion - Guaraní de Trinidad	0:0 ✺
25.07.21	Guaraní de Trinidad - Resistencia	0:2 ✺
11.07.21	Guaraní de Trinidad - Sportivo Trinidense	3:5 ✺
23.06.21	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaraní de Trinidad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WTLLW
- Deportivo Capiatá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
16.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
02.08.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Sportivo Ameliano	0:0 ✺
25.07.21	Club General Díaz - Deportivo Capiatá	0:1 ✺
21.07.21	Deportivo Capiatá - 3 de Febrero	1:1 ✺
11.07.21	Deportivo Capiatá - Fulgencio Yegros	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTWTW

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