Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 7

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Guarani		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.2	3.8
	1.86	3.25	3.95
	1.96	3.28	4.21
	1.92	3.25	4.25	Watch
	1.7	3.2	4.75
	1.83	3.16	4.24	Watch
	1.86	3.25	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.83)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	4.16 ↑ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
49.5%

Draw
28.4%

Figueirense
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.1%

27.7%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

26.7%

21.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Guarani - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarani will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Figueirense (3.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey Ventura (C) 10. Caio Mello 9. Deni Junior 6. Emerson 8. Giva 4. Leo Coltro 2. Lucas Justen 7. Luiz Miguel 5. Mateus Sarara 11. Rafael Bilu 3. Raphael	52. Igo Gabriel (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 35. Flavio 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 8. Joao Lucas 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 37. Lucas Dias 11. Marlyson 7. Nicolas
Substitutes
23. Cristiano 12. Fred Conte (G) 20. Isaque 22. JP Galvao 16. Kaio Cristian 13. Lucao 17. Lucas Macedo 21. Michael 19. Rai Nascimento 18. Samuel 14. Titi 15. Vinicius Yuji	19. da Costa M. 10. Gabriel Santiago 23. Junior (G) 28. Rafinha Potiguar 79. Reifit 77. Renan 43. Roger Fellipo 6. Samuel Toscas 17. Wellington Nem
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Flavio 🟨,
23', Deni Junior (Pen),
37', Lucas Justen 🟨,
40', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
42', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
44', Nicolas ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caio Mello ↓, Isaque ↑,
46', Deni Junior ↓, Samuel ↑,
46', Marlyson ↓, Roger Fellipo ↑,
65', Lucas Justen ↓, Rai Nascimento ↑,
74', Joao Lucas ↓, Wellington Nem ↑,
74', Felipe Augusto ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
77', Leonan ↓, Samuel Toscas ↑,
79', Luiz Miguel 🟨,
80', Giva ↓, Cristiano ↑,
86', Rafael Bilu ↓, Michael ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Figueirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guarani is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.25	Floresta - Guarani	0:0 ✺
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TLWLL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Figueirense - Ituano	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Itabaiana - Figueirense	1:1 ✺
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tombense - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTLLL

Guarani - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide