Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 5

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Etelvino Mendonca (Itabaiana)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Itabaiana		Figueirense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	2.9	2.95
	2.3	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.42	3.02	3.11
	2.41	2.95	3.22	Watch
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.38	2.74	3.53	Watch
	2.3	2.95	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.65)	2.92 ↑ (2.75)	3.14 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Itabaiana
39.3%

Draw
31.5%

Figueirense
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

33.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Itabaiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Figueirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Itabaiana - Figueirense Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Itabaiana will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Figueirense (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Itabaiana (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 25%). Figueirense (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jefferson (G) 3. Betao 5. Bruno Sena (C) 8. Gabriel Henrique 4. Gabriel Santiago 6. Kevin 26. Leilson 27. Rhuan Silveira 16. Robinho 15. Romeu 17. Wendel R. N. J.	12. Fabricio Santana (G) 90. Felipe Augusto 35. Flavio 10. Gabriel Santiago 92. Iury 33. Jhony Douglas 22. Leonan 4. Ligger (C) 37. Lucas Dias 11. Marlyson 77. Renan
Substitutes
7. Carlos Coppetti 23. Elimar 14. Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. 20. Fabricio Oya 44. Geaze (G) 25. Gustavo Fagundes 30. Jackson 9. Joao Vitor 22. Kauan Santos 28. Luis Fernando 10. Tarcisio 11. Valdeci	3. Felipe Santiago 52. Igo Gabriel (G) 8. Joao Lucas 9. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 7. Nicolas 28. Rafinha Potiguar 6. Samuel Toscas 17. Wellington Nem
Coaches
Roberto Cavalo	Pintado

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', Gabriel Santiago 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Wendel R. N. J. ⚽,
39', Betao 🟨,
41', Rhuan Silveira 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Renan ↓, Nicolas ↑,
49', Wendel R. N. J. 🟨,
60', Jefferson 🟨,
61', Gabriel Henrique ↓, Carlos Coppetti ↑,
61', Robinho ↓, Fabricio Oya ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Wendel R. N. J. (Own goal),
68', Felipe Augusto ↓, Joao Lucas ↑,
68', Marlyson ↓, Kayke ↑,
73', Iury ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
73', Flavio ↓, Rafinha Potiguar ↑,
77', Romeu ↓, Elimar ↑,
77', Bruno Sena ↓, Tarcisio ↑,
79', Jhony Douglas 🟨,
79', Leilson 🟨,
87', Fabricio Santana 🟨,
88', Wendel R. N. J. ↓, Jackson ↑,
90+3', Gabriel Santiago 🟥,
90+3', Tarcisio 🟨,
90+11', Fabricio Oya 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Itabaiana is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Figueirense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AO de Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C
03.05.25	Tombense - Itabaiana	2:0 ✺
27.04.25	Itabaiana - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ypiranga - Itabaiana	3:2 ✺
13.04.25	Itabaiana - Náutico Capibaribe	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
29.03.25	Confiança - Itabaiana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LLLWT
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Retrô Brasil - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
21.04.25	Tombense - Figueirense	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Figueirense - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.03.25	Avaí - Figueirense	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Itabaiana - Figueirense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide