Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 4

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Brinco de Ouro (Campinas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Guarani		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	2.9	3.8
	2	2.95	3.9
	2.08	3.05	4.24
	2.08	2.89	4.2	Watch
	1.95	2.88	4
	2	2.83	4.07	Watch
	2	2.95	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.28)	2.92 ↓ (3.15)	4.02 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarani
45.7%

Draw
31.4%

Botafogo PB
22.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani's performance.

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo PB might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Guarani - Botafogo PB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarani (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Andrey Ventura (G) 10. Anderson Leite 8. Caio Mello 9. Deni Junior 6. Emerson 11. Isaque 2. JP Galvao 4. Lucao 5. Nathan Camargo 7. Rafael Bilu 3. Raphael (C)	12. Wallace (G) 10. Camilo 19. Denilson 22. Erick 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 3. Renie (C) 6. Sidcley 21. Silvinho 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar
Substitutes
13. Alan Santos 21. Cristiano 12. Fred Conte (G) 20. Giva 23. Joao Victor 16. Kaio Cristian 14. Leo Coltro 22. Lucas Justen 19. Lucas Macedo 15. Mateus Sarara 17. Pablo 18. Samuel	23. Amorim 16. Diego Ferreira 18. Evandro 17. Gabriel Honorio 1. Guilherme Castellani (G) 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 26. JP Iseppe 34. Marcelo Augusto 7. Rafinha 11. Rodrigo Alves

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Thallyson 🟨,
15', Anderson Leite ↓, Pablo ↑,
18', Sidcley ↓, Evandro ↑,
23', Emerson 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Emerson ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Guilherme Santos ↓, Gabriel Honorio ↑,
51', Andrey Ventura 🟨,
52', Camilo (Pen),
60', Silvinho ↓, Rodrigo Alves ↑,
65', 2 - 0, Deni Junior ⚽,
68', JP Galvao ↓, Joao Victor ↑,
68', Isaque ↓, Mateus Sarara ↑,
68', Pablo ↓, Lucas Justen ↑,
73', Rafael Bilu ↓, Cristiano ↑,
74', Camilo ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
74', Denilson ↓, Rafinha ↑,
75', Lucao 🟨,
77', 2 - 1, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
79', Cristiano 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Botafogo PB has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Botafogo PB has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guarani is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
23.02.25	Corinthians - Guarani	2:2 ✺
19.02.25	Guarani - Velo Clube	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLTT
- Botafogo PB
Copa do Brasil
01.05.25	Botafogo PB - Flamengo	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
27.04.25	Botafogo PB - ABC	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Náutico Capibaribe - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
30.03.25	Botafogo PB - Sousa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWT

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