Match Info
Serie C - Second stage - Round 4Date: 27 September 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Augusto Bauer (Brusque)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet+, Zapping |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Brusque |
|
Guarani |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
2.62 |
2.58 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.73 |
2.72 |
2.97 |
|
 |
2.92 |
2.37 |
3.21 |
Watch |
 |
2.6 |
2.62 |
2.91 |
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.75 |
3.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.62 ↑
(2.25) |
2.61 ↓
(2.82) |
3.04 ↓
(3.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.50
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brusque
34.9% | Draw
35.1% | Guarani
30.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brusque's form might have worsened.Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brusque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Brusque - Guarani Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Guarani (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Brusque (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brusque (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Guarani (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
#ad
Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1.  Matheus Nogueira (G)
66. Alex Ruan (C)
50. Bernardo
17.  Clinton U.
27. Diego Mathias
2. Everton Alemao
23. Guilherme Pira
30. Jean Mangabeira
97. Mateus Pivo
9. Olavio
4.  Torres J.
| 12. Dalberson (G)
4. Alan Santos (C)
9. Bruno Santos
5. David Braz
10.  Diego Torres
6. Emerson
8. Isaque
2. Lucas Justen
11. Mirandinha
3. Raphael
7. Rian Kelvi
|
| Substitutes |
60. Ailton Santos
22. Andre Luiz (G)
80. Danielzinho
20. Douglas Oliveira
6. Italo
21. Jhonny Lucas
28. Mauricio Ribeiro
16. Roberto Rosa
99. Robinho
29. Thiago Freitas
18. Thomaz
| 13. Allyson
25. Andrey Ventura (G)
18. Caio Mello
21. Gabriel Silva
15. Giva
23. Jhemerson
22. JP Galvao
19. Junior Brandao
14. Kadi Silva
17. Kaua Jesus
16. Renan Castro
20.  Takahashi R.
|
| Coaches |
Franco B.
| Matheus Costa
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Raphael 🟨,
- 20', Diego Mathias 🟨,
- 22', Lucas Justen 🟨,
- 32', 0 - 1, Raphael ⚽,
- 39', Mirandinha 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 1, Alex Ruan ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Isaque ↓, Kaua Jesus ↑,
- 58', David Braz ↓, Giva ↑,
- 61', Olavio ↓, Douglas Oliveira ↑,
- 69', Giva ↓, Caio Mello ↑,
- 69', Mirandinha ↓, Gabriel Silva ↑,
- 71', 🟨,
- 76', Bruno Santos 🟥,
- 78', 2 - 1, Diego Mathias ⚽,
- 82', Diego Torres ↓, Junior Brandao ↑,
- 88', 2 - 2, Alan Santos ⚽,
- 90+6', Bernardo ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 90+6', Diego Mathias ↓, Thomaz ↑,
- 90+7', 3 - 2, Everton Alemao ⚽,
- 90+8', Everton Alemao 🟨,
- 90+11', Robinho 🟥,
- 90+15', Clinton U. ↓, Roberto Rosa ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet)In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 2.Brusque is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Guarani is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Guarani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Brusque has had a series of away games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1:1).Including home matches between the teams, Brusque won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Brusque - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie C | | | 21.09.25 | Guarani - Brusque | 1:0 | | 20.04.25 | Brusque - Guarani | 1:0 | | Brazilian Serie B | | | 17.11.24 | Brusque - Guarani | 2:1 | | 28.07.24 | Guarani - Brusque | 1:0 | | 24.07.22 | Guarani - Brusque | 1:1 | | 08.04.22 | Brusque - Guarani | 1:0 | | 02.10.21 | Brusque - Guarani | 2:0 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Get 100% up to 500 SEK + 100 Free spins
Betting Bonus up to 1 000 EUR + 250 EUR free bet !
