Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 6

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Floresta		Guarani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	2.87	1.9
	3.85	2.95	1.99
	4.09	2.98	2
	4.06	3.05	2.04	Watch
	3.5	2.8	2.1
	3.95	2.98	1.96	Watch
	3.85	2.95	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.05)	2.94 ↓ (3.09)	2 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Floresta
23.4%

Draw
31%

Guarani
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.4%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Floresta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Floresta's form might have worsened.

Guarani has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Floresta - Guarani Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Floresta will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Guarani will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Floresta (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 8. Guilherme Nunes 9. Jeam 4. Julio Vaz 20. Marco Antonio 2. Mateus Ludke 28. Pablo 6. Rafael Furlan 7. Ruan (C) 13. Thomas Kayck 3. Vitao	1. Andrey Ventura (G) 5. Alan Santos (C) 9. Deni Junior 6. Emerson 7. Giva 10. Isaque 11. Joao Victor 4. Leo Coltro 2. Lucas Justen 8. Mateus Sarara 3. Raphael
Substitutes
22. Cesar (G) 16. Davi Castro 17. Diego Matos 25. Diogo Mourao 26. Erikin 18. Guilherme Martineli 15. Igor Dutra 5. Robson Alemao 29. Rodrigo 19. Rubens 21. Vitinho 12. Wilderk (G)	17. Anderson Leite 19. Cristiano 12. Fred Conte (G) 14. JP Galvao 16. Kaio Cristian 13. Lucao 20. Luiz Miguel 18. Samuel 15. Vinicius Yuji

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Jeam 🟨,
37', Marco Antonio 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Giva ↓, Anderson Leite ↑,
46', Alan Santos 🟨,
67', Jeam ↓, Rubens ↑,
67', Marco Antonio ↓, Diogo Mourao ↑,
67', Joao Victor ↓, Luiz Miguel ↑,
70', Alan Santos 🟨,
72', Isaque ↓, Vinicius Yuji ↑,
76', Pablo ↓, Guilherme Martineli ↑,
80', Mateus Sarara ↓, Lucao ↑,
81', Lucas Justen ↓, JP Galvao ↑,
89', Mateus Ludke ↓, Igor Dutra ↑,
89', Ruan ↓, Erikin ↑,
90', Anderson Leite 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

Recent performances by Floresta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guarani is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Floresta EC
Brazilian Serie C
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
04.05.25	Floresta - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Anápolis - Floresta	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Floresta - Londrina	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Caxias - Floresta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWTLL
- Guarani Futebol Clube
Brazilian Serie C
10.05.25	Guarani - São Bernardo	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Guarani - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
28.04.25	Caxias - Guarani	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Brusque - Guarani	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Guarani - Maringá	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL

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