The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sfera U20 31.5%
Draw 28.5%
Guarani U20 40%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
27.1%
36.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.1%
28%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sfera U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sfera U20's form might have worsened.
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sfera U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guarani U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sfera U20 - Guarani U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg.
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 3rd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Sfera U20 has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Guarani U20 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sfera U20 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.
Watch
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