Match Info
Serie D - Round 7Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Guarany de Bagé |
|
Barra Santa Catarina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
2.95 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.06 |
2.97 |
3.31 |
|
 |
2.11 |
3.16 |
3.37 |
Watch |
 |
2.08 |
3.13 |
3.35 |
|
 |
2.17 |
3 |
3.25 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.12 ↑ (2.02) |
3.04 ↓ (3.25) |
3.29 ↑ (3.25) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé 42.6% | Draw 29.8% | Barra Santa Catarina 27.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Barra Santa Catarina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barra Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-0.9%)Guarany de Bagé - Barra Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Renan Bernabe ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 2, Elvinho ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).Guarany de Bagé has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Barra is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match. The teams have not played against each other recently.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;