Match Info
Serie D - Round 6Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: Estádio Estrela d'Alva (Bage)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Guarany de Bagé |
|
Santa Catarina |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.16 |
2.92 |
2.24 |
|
 |
3.29 |
2.82 |
2.34 |
 Watch |
 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
|
 |
2.8 |
3 |
2.45 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.09 ↑
(2.8) |
2.86 ↓
(3) |
2.33 ↓
(2.45) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé
29.4% | Draw
31.7% | Santa Catarina
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)Guarany de Bagé - Santa Catarina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', 1 - 0, Vitor Oliveira ⚽,
Preview
Guarany de Bagé is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Santa Catarina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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