Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Estrela d'Alva (Bage) 🌤️ ...


	Guarany de Bagé		Santa Catarina

	1	X	2
	3.16	2.92	2.24
	3.29	2.82	2.34	Watch
	3.1	2.7	2.3
	2.8	3	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.8)	2.86 ↓ (3)	2.33 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé
29.4%

Draw
31.7%

Santa Catarina
38.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.5%

30.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Santa Catarina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Catarina than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Guarany de Bagé - Santa Catarina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Vitor Oliveira ⚽,

Preview

Guarany de Bagé is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Santa Catarina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guarany de Bagé may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Guarany de Bagé - São Luiz	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	FC Cascavel - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Guarany de Bagé - Joinville	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Cianorte - Guarany de Bagé	3:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.03.26	Ponte Preta - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL
- Santa Catarina FC
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Joinville - Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	São Luiz - Santa Catarina	4:4 ✺
11.04.26	Santa Catarina - Cianorte	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	FC Cascavel - Santa Catarina	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
11.03.26	Santa Catarina - Jacuipense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWLL

Guarany de Bagé - Santa Catarina

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé - Santa Catarina Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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