Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 23

Date: 19 March 2023, Sunday


	Guarda Desportiva		Leça

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.75	1.51
	5.1	3.65	1.5
	6.17	4.05	1.51
	6.4	4.25	1.44
	5.4	3.9	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (4.13)	3.92 ↑ (3.43)	1.49 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
15.9%

Draw
23.2%

Leça
60.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.9%

26.3%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

25.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda Desportiva's form might have worsened.

Leça has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leça's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leça than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leça, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Guarda Desportiva is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leça has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Leça is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda Desportiva won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Marítimo B - Guarda Desportiva	3:0 ✺
19.02.23	Resende - Guarda Desportiva	2:4 ✺
12.02.23	Guarda Desportiva - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWL
- Leça FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.03.23	Leça - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
05.03.23	Gondomar - Leça	2:0 ✺
26.02.23	Leça - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Rebordosa - Leça	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Leça - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Leça - Guarda Desportiva	2:0

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