Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Resende		Guarda Desportiva

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.7	4.5
	1.6	3.5	4.4
	1.62	3.8	5.07
	1.61	3.84	4.9
	1.6	3.85	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.6)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	4.71 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Resende
56.5%

Draw
24.2%

Guarda Desportiva
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.2%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

16.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resende has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Guarda Desportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resende than the current prediction. (-17%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Resende that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda Desportiva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

#ad

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Resende is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guarda Desportiva is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Resende is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Resende won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Resende
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Camacha - Resende	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Resende - Lusitânia	0:3 ✺
29.01.23	Machico - Resende	3:2 ✺
22.01.23	Resende - Gondomar	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Leça - Resende	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLLWW
- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Guarda Desportiva - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
05.02.23	Gondomar - Guarda Desportiva	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Rebordosa - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
15.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Alpendorada	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Resende	0:3

Resende - Guarda Desportiva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide