Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 24

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Guarda FC		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.1	2.3
	3.85	3.05	1.97
	3.82	3.1	2.02
	3.85	3.05	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (2.2)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	2.07 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda FC
25.7%

Draw
29.8%

Beira-Mar
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.7%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda FC's form might have worsened.

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Beira-Mar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Beira-Mar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guarda FC - Beira Mar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
79', 🟥,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 7).

Guarda is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Beira-Mar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guarda won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.03.25	Machico - Guarda FC	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
03.03.25	Guarda FC - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	União Lamas - Guarda FC	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWT
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
16.03.25	Beira-Mar - Salgueiros 08	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	União Lamas - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
02.03.25	Beira-Mar - Gondomar	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Marítimo B - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Beira-Mar - Cinfães	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.12.24	Beira-Mar - Guarda FC	0:2

Guarda FC - Beira-Mar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide