Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 23

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Machico		Guarda FC

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.3
	1.75	3.35	4.4
	1.75	3.3	4.43
	1.75	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.86)	3.23 ↑ (3)	3.88 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
46.5%

Draw
29.2%

Guarda FC
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

30.3%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

30.5%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Machico's performance.

Guarda FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guarda FC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Machico that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda FC than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guarda FC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Machico - Guarda FC Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Machico will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Machico is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Guarda is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machico won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Salgueiros 08 - Machico	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Machico - União Lamas	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Gondomar - Machico	2:0 ✺
16.02.25	Machico - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Cinfães - Machico	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLTW
- Guarda FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.03.25	Guarda FC - Alpendorada	0:1 ✺
03.03.25	Guarda FC - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	União Lamas - Guarda FC	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Guarda FC - Gondomar	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Marítimo B - Guarda FC	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.11.24	Guarda FC - Machico	3:0

Machico - Guarda FC: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide