Match Info

Paulista B - Round 10

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday


	Guarulhos		Sporting Paulinense

	1	X	2
	1.60	3.50	4.50
	1.71	3.32	4.37
	1.75	3.37	4.44	Watch
	1.73	3.3	4.4
	1.7	3.35	4.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.67)	3.37 ↓ (3.8)	4.47 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarulhos
53.1%

Draw
26.8%

Sporting Paulinense
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

24.1%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarulhos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Sporting Paulinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarulhos than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Paulinense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Guarulhos - Sporting Paulinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Vinicius Caveira (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
59', 1 - 1, Marcelo Mineiro ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Gabriel Alves (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Guarulhos is Qualified for Paulista B (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Paulinense is Qualified for Paulista B (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

Guarulhos is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paulinense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guarulhos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paulinense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Guarulhos is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarulhos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Guarulhos
Brazilian Paulista B
13.06.26	Votoraty - Guarulhos	4:2 ✺
05.06.26	Guarulhos - Paulinia FU	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	Guarulhos - Flamengo de Guarulhos	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Grêmio Osasco Audax - Guarulhos	2:2 ✺
17.05.26	Sporting Paulinense - Guarulhos	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWWTW
- Sporting Paulinense
Brazilian Paulista B
14.06.26	Sporting Paulinense - Grêmio Osasco Audax	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Sporting Paulinense - Flamengo de Guarulhos	0:1 ✺
30.05.26	Votoraty - Sporting Paulinense	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Sporting Paulinense - Paulinia FU	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Sporting Paulinense - Guarulhos	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista B
17.05.26	Sporting Paulinense - Guarulhos	1:7

Guarulhos - Sporting Paulinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide