Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gubbio		Latina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	2.85	2.70
	2.55	2.85	2.63	Watch
	2.84	2.91	2.85
	2.66	2.91	2.71	Watch
	2.80	2.75	2.75
	2.71	3.02	2.71	Watch
	2.55	2.90	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.4)	2.88 ↓ (2.95)	2.73 ↓ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
34.5%

Draw
31.8%

Latina
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

31.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-2%)

Gubbio - Latina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 34. Zallu F. 4. Baroncelli L. 15. Signorini A. (C) 3. Meconi E. 8. Rosaia G. 47. Di Noia G. 14. Cardascio A. 7. Spina M. 77. Minta A. 10. La Mantia A.	67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 13. Marenco F. (C) 33. Carillo L. 2. Ercolano E. 70. Tomaselli G. 36. Lipani J. 4. De Cristofaro A. 27. D'Angelo Sonny 45. Keita C. 7. Baez J. 28. Plescia V.
Substitutes
92. Baldini E. 76. Barani L. 12. Barbanera L. (G) 6. Barry O. 17. Fazzi N. 22. Marson L. (G) 24. Piomboni L. 27. Podda L. 26. Toska K. 21. Zorzetto B.	1. Basti M. (G) 5. Bruscagin M. 6. Calabrese B. 8. Castorri G. 77. Cioffi A. 30. De Ciancio R. 66. De Marchi D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 12. Giora F. (G) 32. Parodi G. 3. Porro M. 10. Riccardi A. 16. Sussi C. 9. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Di Carlo D.	Volpe G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', Ercolano E. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Cardascio A. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, D'Angelo Sonny ⚽, Keita C. (A),
42', Carillo L. ↓, Bruscagin M. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Keita C. ↓, Sussi C. ↑,
56', Meconi E. ↓, Barani L. ↑,
56', Cardascio A. ↓, Barry O. ↑,
57', Spina M. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
62', Tomaselli G. 🟨,
65', De Cristofaro A. ↓, Riccardi A. ↑,
65', Baez J. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
66', La Mantia A. ↓, Baldini E. ↑,
72', Zallu F. ↓, Podda L. ↑,
74', Lipani J. 🟥,
78', Plescia V. ↓, De Ciancio R. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Podda L. ⚽,
90+1', Podda L. 🟨,
90+4', Di Noia G. 🟨,
90+7', 3 - 1, Minta A. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Latina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7
18	Latina	7	1	3	3	6:9	-3	6

Last Results with these Odds

Latina - the odds 2.9 are the expected chance of winning is 31.33%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Campobasso - Gubbio	2:4 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
30.08.26	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
14.08.26	Pineto - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WWLLW
- US Latina Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
09.09.26	Grosseto - Latina	1:4 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
05.09.26	Latina - Forlì	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.09.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Latina	Canceled ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
29.08.26	Ravenna - Latina	3:1 ✺
23.08.26	Latina - Pineto	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WW?LT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
17.08.25	Latina - Gubbio	1:0
Italian Lega Pro C1/B
28.04.13	Gubbio - Latina	2:1
09.12.12	Latina - Gubbio	2:0

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