Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 37

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
World	FIFA+


	Gubbio		Milan Futuro

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.37	3.15	2.95
	2.27	3.23	3.19
	2.26	3.16	3.25	Watch
	2.38	2.9	3
	2.3	3.43	2.9	Watch
	2.37	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (1.62)	3.14 ↓ (3.8)	3.05 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
40.2%

Draw
29.5%

Milan Futuro
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

23.9%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

24.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gubbio's form might have worsened.

Milan Futuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milan Futuro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milan Futuro than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milan Futuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Gubbio - Milan Futuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gubbio will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Milan U23 will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gubbio will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 24. Zallu F. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Stramaccioni D. 3. Tentardini A. 21. Corsinelli F. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 78. Iaccarino G. 17. Spina M. 9. Tommasini C. 10. Di Massimo A.	1. Nava L. (G) 15. Coubis A. 44. Camporese M. 21. Sandri M. 17. Fall M. 6. Malaspina M. 8. Alesi G. 23. Branca S. 3. Bozzolan A. 77. Ianesi S. 9. Camarda F.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 25. David A. 5. D'Avino L. 7. D'Ursi E. 19. Faggi F. 28. Maisto F. 80. Proietti M. 11. Rovaglia P. 15. Signorini A. 4. Tozzuolo A.	14. D'Alessio L. 26. Eletu V. 24. Minotti G. 29. Omoregbe B. 22. Pittarella M. (G) 35. Raveyre N. (G) 99. Scotti F. 20. Sia D. 28. Traore C. 32. Turco N. 47. Vladimirov V. 55. Vos S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Tommasini C. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Camarda F. (Pen),
24', Fall M. 🟨,
30', 2 - 1, Rocchi G. ⚽,
33', Venturi G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Branca S. ↓, Traore C. ↑,
46', Fall M. ↓, D'Alessio L. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
51', Di Massimo A. 🟨,
63', Di Massimo A. ↓, D'Ursi E. ↑,
70', Malaspina M. ↓, Eletu V. ↑,
70', Bozzolan A. ↓, Omoregbe B. ↑,
71', Sandri M. 🟨,
79', 3 - 2, Camarda F. ⚽,
81', Tentardini A. ↓, Tozzuolo A. ↑,
81', Zallu F. ↓, D'Avino L. ↑,
82', Alesi G. ↓, Turco N. ↑,
85', Spina M. ↓, Lorenzo G. ↑,
86', Tommasini C. ↓, Faggi F. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Recent matches Gubbio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Milan U23 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gubbio will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Gubbio: Franchini S. (Inactive) Giovannini R. (Knee Injury) Proietti M. (Yellow Cards) Stramaccioni D. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Milan U23: Quirini E. (Yellow Cards)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
13.04.25	Pescara - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Gubbio - Ascoli	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Rimini - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LTWLW
- Milan Futuro
Italian Serie C Group B
13.04.25	Milan Futuro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sestri Levante - Milan Futuro	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Milan Futuro - Campobasso	3:2 ✺
22.03.25	Arezzo - Milan Futuro	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Milan Futuro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
08.12.24	Milan Futuro - Gubbio	1:0

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