Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 23 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Gubbio		Virtus Entella

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	1.82
	3.95	3.1	1.99
	4.01	3.15	2.01	Watch
	4	2.9	1.95
	3.87	3.26	1.98	Watch
	3.95	3.1	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.59)	3.09 ↓ (3.15)	1.96 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
23.1%

Draw
29.8%

Virtus Entella
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

29.3%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

28.5%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Virtus Entella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Entella than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Gubbio - Virtus Entella Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Virtus Entella will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Venturi G. (G) 21. Corsinelli F. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Stramaccioni D. 24. Zallu F. 19. Faggi F. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 78. Iaccarino G. 17. Spina M. 9. Tommasini C. 7. D'Ursi E.	22. Del Frate F. (G) 90. Portanova D. 6. Tiritiello A. 15. Marconi I. (C) 70. Bariti D. 8. Karic N. 47. Di Noia G. 24. Franzoni A. 27. Boccadamo A. 10. Casarotto M. 9. Castelli D.
Substitutes
1. Bolletta L. (G) 34. Conti V. 5. D'Avino L. 10. Di Massimo A. 6. Franchini S. . Lombardi 28. Maisto F. 80. Proietti M. 4. Tozzuolo A.	14. Corbari A. 40. Costa G. 26. Di Mario S. 11. Fall M. 2. Garattoni A. 77. Guiu B. 21. Lipani J. 43. Ndrecka A. 99. Siaulys O. (G) 92. Vandelli F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Rosaia G. (Own goal),
17', Tiritiello A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 2, Bariti D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Bariti D. 🟨,
62', Karic N. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
62', Bariti D. ↓, Di Mario S. ↑,
62', Casarotto M. ↓, Guiu B. ↑,
65', Franzoni A. 🟥,
67', 🟨,
74', Boccadamo A. ↓, Lipani J. ↑,
74', Castelli D. ↓, Fall M. ↑,
76', Rocchi G. 🟨,
80', Rosaia G. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
87', Zallu F. ↓, Maisto F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1.

Recent matches Gubbio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Virtus Entella in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gubbio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Virtus Entella is a favorite.

There will not play in Gubbio: Franchini S. (Muscle Injury) Giovannini R. (Knee Injury) Signorini A. (Inactive) Tentardini A. (Injury)

There will not play in Virtus Entella: Parodi L. (Yellow Cards) Thioune E. (Knee Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8:12 (average 0.9:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.25	Rimini - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
11.03.25	Vis Pesaro - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.03.25	Gubbio - Pianese	1:0 ✺
01.03.25	Pontedera - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gubbio - Legnago Salus	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WTWLL
- Virtus Entella
Italian Serie C Group B
17.03.25	Virtus Entella - Sestri Levante	4:0 ✺
11.03.25	Lucchese - Virtus Entella	2:2 ✺
07.03.25	Virtus Entella - Pontedera	3:1 ✺
01.03.25	Vis Pesaro - Virtus Entella	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Virtus Entella - Perugia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
10.11.24	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1
19.02.24	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:0
15.10.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	2:1
Italian Serie C Group A
22.05.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	3:1
18.05.23	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	2:0
Italian Serie C Group B
28.01.23	Virtus Entella - Gubbio	0:0
24.09.22	Gubbio - Virtus Entella	0:0

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