Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Gubbio		Ascoli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.25	3.1	1.85
	5.01	3.13	1.84
	4.77	2.95	1.86	Watch
	4.33	2.8	1.85
	4.71	3.02	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↑ (4.03)	3 ↑ (2.99)	1.84 ↓ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
19.8%

Draw
30.5%

Ascoli
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.7%

30.6%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

29.3%

48.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Ascoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ascoli than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Gubbio - Ascoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 5. Di Bitonto A. 15. Signorini A. 23. Bruscagin M. 27. Podda L. 6. Varone I. 21. Carraro F. 8. Rosaia G. 29. Murru N. 73. Ghirardello T. 77. Minta A.	1. Vitale S. (G) 3. Nicoletti M. 23. Alagna M. 30. Curado M. 17. Guiebre A. 4. Damiani S. 62. Milanese T. 7. Silipo A. 25. Rizzo Pinna A. 15. D'Uffizi S. 35. Gori G.
Substitutes
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 4. Baroncelli L. 78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 10. Di Massimo A. 82. Djankpata H. 17. Fazzi N. 19. La Mantia A. 11. Mastropietro F. 3. Tentardini A. 56. Tomasella M. (G) 34. Zallu F.	24. Bando A. 46. Barosi D. (G) 41. Brzan R. (G) 9. Chakir M. A. 18. Corazza S. 80. Corradini G. 10. Del Sole F. 14. Galuppini F. 19. Menna D. 6. Ndoj E. 11. Oviszach E. 2. Pagliai G. 33. Rizzo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
30', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Gori G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Gori G. ⚽,
57', D'Uffizi S. ↓, Oviszach E. ↑,
58', Rosaia G. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
59', Podda L. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
61', 0 - 3, Oviszach E. ⚽,
64', 1 - 3, Di Massimo A. ⚽,
68', Ghirardello T. ↓, La Mantia A. ↑,
68', Murru N. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
72', Milanese T. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
72', Gori G. ↓, Chakir M. A. ↑,
72', Silipo A. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,
77', Nicoletti M. 🟨,
83', Varone I. ↓, Mastropietro F. ↑,
83', Rizzo Pinna A. ↓, Ndoj E. ↑,
90+4', Guiebre A. 🟨,
90+6', Chakir M. A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0.

Gubbio is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ascoli is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ascoli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ascoli is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Ternana - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Gubbio - Carpi	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gubbio - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Pontedera - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WWWLT
- Ascoli Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
09.03.26	Ascoli - Ravenna	2:0 ✺
04.03.26	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Ascoli - Carpi	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Pontedera - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
15.02.26	Bra - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1
05.04.25	Gubbio - Ascoli	0:0
24.11.24	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
11.08.24	Ascoli - Gubbio	2:1
Club Friendly
11.08.18	Gubbio - Ascoli	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.15	Gubbio - Ascoli	2:2
26.10.14	Ascoli - Gubbio	2:2

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