Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Gubbio		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.07	3.2	3.2
	2.16	3.05	2.95
	2.12	3.31	3.3
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.09	3.34	3.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.69)	3.2 ↓ (3.4)	3.23 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
43.7%

Draw
28.3%

Pistoiese
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.7%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.9%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gubbio's form might have worsened.

Pistoiese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pistoiese's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gubbio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pistoiese, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gubbio - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Group B (Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Group B (Play Out)).

Gubbio is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pistoiese could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Gubbio will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.22	Ancona - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
27.03.22	Gubbio - Viterbese	1:2 ✺
19.03.22	Lucchese - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.03.22	Gubbio - Imolese	2:1 ✺
12.03.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTWW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.22	Pistoiese - Modena	1:0 ✺
25.03.22	Virtus Entella - Pistoiese	3:1 ✺
19.03.22	Pistoiese - Fermana	2:1 ✺
15.03.22	Viterbese - Pistoiese	2:2 ✺
12.03.22	Pistoiese - Cesena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
05.12.21	Pistoiese - Gubbio	2:3
26.04.15	Pistoiese - Gubbio	3:2
13.12.14	Gubbio - Pistoiese	1:1

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