Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 36

Date: 6 April 2023, Thursday


	Siena		Gubbio

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	2.7	3	2.45
	2.85	2.78	2.35
	3	2.62	2.5
	3.02	2.74	2.56	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.58)	2.8 ↑ (2.7)	2.47 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Siena
31.4%

Draw
32.2%

Gubbio
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

33.5%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

35%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Siena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gubbio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siena than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Siena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gubbio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Siena - Gubbio Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Siena will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Gubbio will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs).

Gubbio is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs

Recent matches Siena is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gubbio is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Siena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Siena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Siena FC
Italian Serie C Group B
01.04.23	Fermana - Siena	3:1 ✺
26.03.23	Carrarese - Siena	3:0 ✺
18.03.23	Siena - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
14.03.23	Lucchese - Siena	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Siena - Vis Pesaro	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTTW
- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
01.04.23	Gubbio - Vis Pesaro	3:0 ✺
26.03.23	San Donato Tavarnelle - Gubbio	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Gubbio - Lucchese	2:0 ✺
14.03.23	Recanatese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
11.03.23	Gubbio - Cesena	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
03.12.22	Gubbio - Siena	2:0
Club Friendly
07.08.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:1
Italian Serie C Group B
12.03.22	Siena - Gubbio	1:2
01.11.21	Gubbio - Siena	1:2

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