Match Info

Date: 23 October 2022, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)


	Gubbio		Imolese

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.53	3.45	6
	1.51	3.4	5.8
	1.55	3.48	6.35
	1.5	3.4	6.5
	1.53	3.7	5.9	Watch
	1.54	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.67)	3.5 ↑ (3.15)	5.93 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
58.8%

Draw
25.9%

Imolese
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

28.3%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.9%

27.1%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gubbio's performance.

Imolese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imolese than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Gubbio - Imolese Predictions

Users Predictions: Gubbio will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2.

Recent matches Gubbio is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Imolese is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Gubbio is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Gubbio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.22	Fiorenzuola - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
16.10.22	Gubbio - Reggiana	1:2 ✺
09.10.22	Gubbio - Rimini	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Gubbio - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Carrarese - Gubbio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLWW
- Imolese Calcio 1919
Italian Serie C Group B
19.10.22	Imolese - Carrarese	2:1 ✺
16.10.22	Cesena - Imolese	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	Imolese - Recanatese	2:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
05.10.22	Pordenone - Imolese	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
02.10.22	Virtus Entella - Imolese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.03.22	Gubbio - Imolese	2:1
07.11.21	Imolese - Gubbio	2:2
25.04.21	Imolese - Gubbio	1:0
10.01.21	Gubbio - Imolese	2:1
23.10.19	Gubbio - Imolese	1:1
09.02.19	Gubbio - Imolese	2:3
14.10.18	Imolese - Gubbio	1:0

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