Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Gudja United		Żurrieq

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.25	2.58	Watch
	2.44	3.24	2.68
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.39	3.13	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)	3.13 ↓ (3.42)	2.66 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
37.4%

Draw
28.8%

Żurrieq
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

26%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Żurrieq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żurrieq than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Gudja United - Żurrieq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Aquilina G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 2, MacKay S. ⚽,
55', 0 - 3, Londe L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: ) and 12 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group: )).

Gudja United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Żurrieq is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gudja United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gudja United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Zurrieq	2	0	0	2	1:3	-2	0
15	Gudja	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
14.02.26	Gudja United - Mġarr United	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Gudja United - Sirens	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Fgura United - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLTWT
- Żurrieq FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.02.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Sirens - Żurrieq	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	Żurrieq - Mġarr United	1:1 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
27.01.26	Żurrieq - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	3:0 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
18.01.26	Swieqi United - Żurrieq	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
13.12.25	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:0
19.10.24	Gudja United - Żurrieq	1:3

Gudja United - Żurrieq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide