Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 4

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	Gudja United		Mtarfa

	1	X	2
	1.04	11	19
	1.02	15.88	28.11
	1.04	12.41	19.34	Watch
	1.05	13	29
	1.02	12.5	26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.03 ↓ (1.05)	12.96 ↑ (11.73)	24.29 ↑ (18.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gudja United
89.1%

Draw
7.1%

Mtarfa
3.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

87.2%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Mtarfa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Gudja United - Mtarfa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Formosa M. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Shola H. S. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 3 - 0, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,

Preview

Gudja United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mtarfa has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mtarfa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Gudja United is the obvious favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gudja United won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gudja United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gudja	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
08.03.26	Marsa - Gudja United	3:3 ✺
28.02.26	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Gudja United - Mġarr United	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 TLLTL
- Mtarfa FC
Maltese Challenge League
07.03.26	Mtarfa - Żurrieq	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Mtarfa	6:0 ✺
21.02.26	Mġarr United - Mtarfa	5:0 ✺
15.02.26	Mtarfa - Sirens	0:8 ✺
08.02.26	Mtarfa - Pietà Hotspurs	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
20.12.25	Mtarfa - Gudja United	0:3
06.04.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	1:3
09.02.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	3:1

Gudja United - Mtarfa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide