Match Info
Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2Date: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)
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Santa Lucia |
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Gudja United |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.52 |
3.25 |
2.42 |
 Watch |
 |
2.44 |
3.39 |
2.5 |
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2.49 |
3.45 |
2.49 |
Watch |
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2.5 |
3.1 |
2.45 |
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2.45 |
3.34 |
2.47 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.23) |
3.31 ↓
(3.51) |
2.47 ↓
(2.64) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Santa Lucia
36.3% | Draw
27.2% | Gudja United
36.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Lucia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Lucia than the current prediction. (+5.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Lucia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Santa Lucia - Gudja United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 26', 0 - 1, Shola H. S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 47', 1 - 1, Borg A. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 1, Petkovski F. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 1.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Recently, Gudja United has had a series of home games. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santa Lucia won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.3:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Santa Lucia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Santa Lucia | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
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| 15 | Gudja | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Maltese Challenge League | | | 28.09.25 | Santa Lucia - Gudja United | 2:2 | | 26.10.24 | Santa Lucia - Gudja United | 0:0 | | Maltese Premier League | | | 25.02.24 | Gudja United - Santa Lucia | 0:4 | | 21.10.23 | Santa Lucia - Gudja United | 0:0 | | 04.02.23 | Gudja United - Santa Lucia | 3:0 | | 01.10.22 | Santa Lucia - Gudja United | 1:3 | | 19.01.22 | Santa Lucia - Gudja United | 0:3 |
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