Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Marsa		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.45	2.08	Watch
	2.88	3.89	2
	2.54	3.45	2.45	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.05
	2.97	3.5	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.74)	3.56 ↑ (3.52)	2.13 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marsa
32.1%

Draw
25.5%

Gudja United
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

26%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.8%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Gudja United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Marsa - Gudja United Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gudja United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Ruiz E. (Own goal),
26', 1 - 1, Shola H. S. ⚽,
35', 2 - 1, Demanuele N. ⚽,
43', 2 - 2, Shola H. S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 3 - 2, Abela A. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Agbakwuru J. C. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gudja	2	0	0	2	0:5	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marsa FC
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Marsa - Mġarr United	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Marsa - Vittoriosa Stars	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Marsa - Balzan	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Vittoriosa Stars - Marsa	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTLTL
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
28.02.26	Santa Lucia - Gudja United	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Gudja United - Żurrieq	0:3 ✺
14.02.26	Gudja United - Mġarr United	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	Gudja United - Swieqi United	0:2 ✺
31.01.26	Pietà Hotspurs - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
26.10.25	Gudja United - Marsa	1:1
01.02.25	Gudja United - Marsa	1:2
06.10.18	Gudja United - Marsa	0:0

Marsa - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide