Match Info

Serie D - Winners stage - Round 2

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Guidonia Montecelio		Casarano

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.55
	2.23	3.65	2.65
	2.14	3.5	2.52
	2.22	3.74	2.7	Watch
	2.25	3.52	2.7
	2.23	3.65	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.24)	3.58 ↓ (3.8)	2.63 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guidonia Montecelio
40.6%

Draw
25.2%

Casarano
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

23.9%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.6%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guidonia Montecelio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Casarano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guidonia Montecelio than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Guidonia Montecelio - Casarano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Opoola M. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
70', 2 - 2, ⚽,
76', 2 - 3, ⚽,
81', 2 - 4, ⚽,
85', 3 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Guidonia has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Casarano has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Casarano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie D - Group G
27.04.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Real Monterotondo	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Puteolana - Guidonia Montecelio	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Ilvamaddalena - Guidonia Montecelio	0:3 ✺
06.04.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Anzio	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atletico Uri - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW
- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group A
11.05.25	Casarano - Siracusa	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group H
04.05.25	Casarano - Ischia Isolaverde	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Gravina - Casarano	4:2 ✺
17.04.25	Casarano - Fidelis Andria	4:0 ✺
13.04.25	Francavilla - Casarano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LTLWW

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