Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Guijuelo		Numancia

	1	X	2
	5	3.1	1.65
	5.4	3.25	1.66
	5.13	3.28	1.75
	5.18	3.22	1.71	Watch
	4.94	3.44	1.74
	5.4	3.25	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.18 ↑ (3.09)	3.26 ↑ (3.14)	1.7 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guijuelo
17.7%

Draw
28.2%

Numancia
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

29.1%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guijuelo's form might have worsened.

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Numancia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guijuelo than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guijuelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Numancia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guijuelo - Numancia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
2', 1 - 0, Gning M. (Own goal),
10', 1 - 1, Teijeira A. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Jony (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 3, Jony ⚽,
70', 1 - 4, Dieste C. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion Group: )).

Guijuelo is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Numancia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Numancia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guijuelo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Guijuelo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.04.25	Guijuelo - Rayo Cantabria	1:4 ✺
05.04.25	Escobedo - Guijuelo	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Guijuelo - Marino de Luanco	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Langreo - Guijuelo	3:0 ✺
16.03.25	Guijuelo - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
13.04.25	Numancia - Real Ávila	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Rayo Cantabria - Numancia	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Numancia - Gimnástica de Torrelavega	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Escobedo - Numancia	2:1 ✺
19.03.25	Pontevedra - Numancia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
08.12.24	Numancia - Guijuelo	2:2

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