Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 15

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Raul Conti (Puerto Madryn)

Referee: Ejarque E. (Arg)


	Guillermo Brown		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.8
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.1	2.9	4
	2.13	2.95	4.2
	2.15	2.88	3.5
	2.13	2.91	4.1
	2.11	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.04)	2.99 ↑ (2.93)	3.81 ↓ (3.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guillermo Brown
44.3%

Draw
31.2%

Defensores Unidos
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

31.5%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

30.8%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guillermo Brown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guillermo Brown than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	66.7%	16.7%

Guillermo Brown - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Guillermo Brown will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Defensores Unidos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guillermo Brown will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guillermo Brown
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.04.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Guillermo Brown	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Guillermo Brown - Club Almagro	1:1 ✺
10.04.23	San Telmo - Guillermo Brown	1:2 ✺
05.04.23	Guillermo Brown - Temperley	2:2 ✺
31.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Guillermo Brown	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 LTWTW
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.04.23	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Club Almagro - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2 ✺
10.04.23	Temperley - Defensores Unidos	1:0 ✺
05.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW

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