Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 24

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox (Zarate)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Defensores Unidos		Agropecuario Argentino

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.15	2.98	2.28	Watch
	3.43	3	2.35
	3.25	3.07	2.29	Watch
	3.4	2.9	2.2
	3.29	2.94	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (2.79)	3.02 ↓ (3.18)	2.28 ↓ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores Unidos
28.2%

Draw
30.9%

Agropecuario Argentino
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

28.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

28.3%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Agropecuario Argentino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agropecuario Argentino than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Agropecuario will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores Unidos (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Ortiz B. 5. Sanchez S. 7. Carboni B. 11. Patroni S. 9. Ceratto L. 10. Gimenez M.	1. Salort G. (G) 3. Leyendeker M. 2. Sanchez F. 6. Sills J. 4. Miranda F. 5. Henriquez F. 8. Mosqueira R. 10. Ramos M. 11. Melo A. 9. Gagliardi A. 7. Blando B.
Substitutes
20. Aguirre D. E. 14. Basualdo N. 15. Caballo M. 13. Ferreyra T. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 17. Juarez R. 18. Rocca J. 19. Sanchez C. 16. Tello H.	15. Aguirre E. 20. Aranda B. 13. Cabello J. 18. Coronel F. 16. Lemos D. 14. Molina M. 17. Ruiz Diaz D. 19. Vasquez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Ortiz B. 🟨,
38', Sanchez F. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Melo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Carboni B. ↓, Rocca J. ↑,
47', 1 - 1, Rocca J. ⚽,
51', 2 - 1, Gimenez M. ⚽,
53', Leyendeker M. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
53', Miranda F. ↓, Cabello J. ↑,
57', Sills J. 🟨,
62', Mosqueira R. ↓, Coronel F. ↑,
65', Toledo A. ↓, Sanchez C. ↑,
72', Olivera L. 🟨,
73', Patroni S. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
73', Gimenez M. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
80', Sanchez S. 🟨,
80', Sanchez S. ↓, Caballo M. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Rocca J. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Gagliardi A. ⚽,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Defensores Unidos is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Agropecuario has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Agropecuario could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Defensores Unidos won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 2.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Central Norte - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
21.06.25	Chaco For Ever - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLTL
- Agropecuario Argentino
Argentinian Primera Nacional
21.07.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Estudiantes de Caseros	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Deportivo Morón - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
06.07.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	2:1 ✺
29.06.25	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto - Agropecuario Argentino	1:1 ✺
22.06.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores de Belgrano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.03.25	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	3:0
13.10.24	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	3:3
25.05.24	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	0:0
10.09.23	Agropecuario Argentino - Defensores Unidos	2:0
29.04.23	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	2:0

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