Match Info

Date: 20 April 2021, Tuesday


	Guingamp		Chambly

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.75	Watch
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.75	3.45	4.5	Watch
	1.77	3.3	4.5
	1.83	3.48	4.96
	1.78	3.4	4.8	Watch
	1.8	3.56	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.04)	3.44 ↑ (3.38)	4.67 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
52.6%

Draw
27.3%

Chambly
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

27.7%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

18.4%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guingamp's performance.

Chambly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chambly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-22.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guingamp that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chambly than the current prediction. (+19.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chambly could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.5%	20.5%	9.1%

Guingamp - Chambly Predictions

Users Predictions: 44 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 31 - 70.5%). Chambly will win (votes: 4 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 57% – 84%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Guingamp has a small chance of relegated (12%), has not chance of promoted.

Chambly has a good chance of relegated (82%), has not chance of promoted.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Guingamp is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Valenciennes - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
12.04.21	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:1 ✺
03.04.21	Troyes - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
20.03.21	Guingamp - Rodez	1:1 ✺
13.03.21	Ajaccio - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTLTW
- FC Chambly
French Ligue 2
17.04.21	Chambly - Amiens	2:0 ✺
10.04.21	Valenciennes - Chambly	2:1 ✺
03.04.21	Rodez - Chambly	2:2 ✺
19.03.21	Chambly - Ajaccio	2:1 ✺
13.03.21	Toulouse - Chambly	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
18.12.20	Chambly - Guingamp	3:0
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Guingamp - Chambly	Canceled
French Ligue 2
01.11.19	Chambly - Guingamp	1:5

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