Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade de l'Aube (Troyes)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Troyes		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4	Watch
	1.8	3.65	3.95
	1.8	3.96	4.3
	2.61	3.81	2.36	Watch
	1.88	3.72	4	Watch
	1.87	3.55	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.15)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	3.74 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Troyes
48.9%

Draw
25.6%

Guingamp
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.1%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

27.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Troyes's performance.

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	8.3%	0%

Troyes - Guingamp Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0, 1st Half - Guingamp (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Troyes will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Troyes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Troyes (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Guingamp (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Lemaitre N. (G) 6. Monfray A. 14. Boura I. 25. Gozzi P. 44. Titi Y. 5. Adeline M. 8. Diop M. 10. Ifnaoui M. 17. Mille A. (C) 15. Assoumou J. 21. Bentayeb T.	1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 36. Demouchy A. 29. Abdallah A. 20. Hatchi J. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 6. N'Landu D. 24. Ott G. 10. Hemia A. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
11. Detourbet M. 9. El Idrissy M. 23. Gambor H. 40. Konate H. (G) 35. Murcy R. 12. Odede E. 3. Ouzenadji A.	39. Ahile T. 27. Kielt S. 40. Marec N. (G) 21. Mbemba F. 23. Ourega D. 8. Sidibe K. 22. Sissoko A.
Coaches
Dumont S.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Hatchi J. ⚽, Hemia A. (A),
24', 1 - 1, Diop M. ⚽, Adeline M. (A),
27', 2 - 1, Boura I. ⚽,
38', 3 - 1, Assoumou J. ⚽, Boura I. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', 4 - 1, Ifnaoui M. ⚽,
61', Ott G. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
61', Hemia A. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
61', N'Landu D. ↓, Sidibe K. ↑,
61', Hatchi J. ↓, Sissoko A. ↑,
69', Louiserre D. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
71', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
71', Adeline M. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
77', Titi Y. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
77', Assoumou J. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
80', 5 - 1, El Idrissy M. ⚽,
81', Diop M. ↓, Gambor H. ↑,
84', 5 - 2, Kielt S. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 1.

Troyes is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Guingamp has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Troyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Troyes is the team to beat.

There will not play in Troyes: Phliponeau A. (Muscle Injury) Traore I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Guingamp: Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Sagna A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Troyes: Maronnier L. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 4:17. (average 0.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Troyes AC
French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Troyes - Nancy	3:0 ✺
29.08.25	Dunkerque - Troyes	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Troyes - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
15.08.25	Clermont - Troyes	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Troyes - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWTW
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
15.09.25	Guingamp - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bastia - Guingamp	1:3 ✺
23.08.25	Guingamp - Red Star	0:4 ✺
16.08.25	Reims - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
09.08.25	Guingamp - Le Mans	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.03.25	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1
16.08.24	Guingamp - Troyes	4:0
02.03.24	Guingamp - Troyes	0:0
25.11.23	Troyes - Guingamp	0:1
03.04.21	Troyes - Guingamp	1:0
01.12.20	Guingamp - Troyes	1:2
16.12.19	Guingamp - Troyes	0:1

Upcoming Matches