Match Info

Date: 9 April 2022, Saturday


	Guingamp		Toulouse

	1	X	2
	4	3.25	1.9	Watch
	4	3.3	1.93
	4	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.91
	4.39	3.36	1.96
	3.7	3.2	2	Watch
	3.95	3.52	1.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.99 ↑ (3.55)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	1.94 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN La Liga

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
23.4%

Draw
28.4%

Toulouse
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.8%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

27.7%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Guingamp - Toulouse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).

Guingamp has the most likely position - 6 (14.73%), has project points - 51, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

Toulouse has the most likely position - 1 (98.47%), has project points - 81, has currently - 66, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of promoted (>99%), has a very good chance of win league (98%).

This event has quality 41, very small importance 7, small match rating 24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 0.

Recent matches Guingamp is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Toulouse will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Guingamp won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Guingamp won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
02.04.22	Nîmes - Guingamp	0:2 ✺
19.03.22	Guingamp - Nancy	3:1 ✺
15.03.22	Rodez - Guingamp	1:1 ✺
12.03.22	Guingamp - Quevilly	1:1 ✺
05.03.22	Sochaux - Guingamp	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTTL
- Toulouse FC
French Ligue 2
02.04.22	Toulouse - Paris FC	2:1 ✺
19.03.22	Auxerre - Toulouse	1:2 ✺
15.03.22	Toulouse - Amiens	6:0 ✺
12.03.22	Caen - Toulouse	4:1 ✺
07.03.22	Toulouse - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
30.10.21	Toulouse - Guingamp	2:2
12.04.21	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:1
05.12.20	Toulouse - Guingamp	2:2
French Ligue 1
10.03.19	Toulouse - Guingamp	1:0
01.09.18	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:2
19.05.18	Toulouse - Guingamp	2:1
30.09.17	Guingamp - Toulouse	1:1

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