Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Boston United

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.2
	2.75	3.6	2.3
	2.81	3.62	2.31
	2.81	3.62	2.31
	3.2	3.6	1.91
	2.81	3.51	2.27
	2.75	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (3.3)	3.56 ↓ (3.71)	2.23 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
32.7%

Draw
25.9%

Boston United
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

24.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

24%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Boston United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boston United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boston United than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Hereford - Boston United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Richards J. ⚽,
65', 0 - 2, Rowe J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 10 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2.

Hereford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Boston United is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hereford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Hereford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
13.04.24	Warrington Town - Hereford	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Scunthorpe United - Hereford	4:1 ✺
03.04.24	Banbury United - Hereford	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Hereford - Buxton	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Hereford - Farsley	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLWTW
- Boston United
English National League North
16.04.24	Banbury United - Boston United	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Boston United - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Boston United - Brackley Town	1:2 ✺
01.04.24	Rushall Olympic - Boston United	1:0 ✺
29.03.24	Boston United - Peterborough Sports	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
11.11.23	Boston United - Hereford	1:0
01.04.23	Hereford - Boston United	1:1
08.10.22	Boston United - Hereford	2:4
05.02.22	Hereford - Boston United	2:1
30.10.21	Boston United - Hereford	2:0
31.08.19	Hereford - Boston United	0:0
27.04.19	Hereford - Boston United	0:2

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