Match Info

Date: 12 February 2022, Saturday


	Hereford		Guiseley

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.4	4.1
	1.65	3.55	4.5
	1.68	3.65	4.3
	1.72	3.81	4.5
	1.65	3.5	4.8
	1.69	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.72)	3.59 (3.59)	4.49 ↑ (4.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
54.2%

Draw
25.5%

Guiseley
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

25.3%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

20.5%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Guiseley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guiseley than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Hereford - Guiseley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 19).

Hereford is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Guiseley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hereford is a favorite.

Recent matches Guiseley is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Last 6 head-to-head matches Hereford won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Hereford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
05.02.22	Hereford - Boston United	2:1 ✺
29.01.22	Chorley - Hereford	3:2 ✺
25.01.22	Hereford - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
22.01.22	Farsley - Hereford	0:4 ✺
18.01.22	Hereford - Kidderminster Harriers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WLWWW
- Guiseley
English National League North
05.02.22	Guiseley - Darlington	1:0 ✺
29.01.22	Southport - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
25.01.22	Guiseley - Alfreton Town	4:2 ✺
22.01.22	Fylde - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.01.22	Stourbridge - Guiseley	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
13.11.21	Guiseley - Hereford	0:2
17.10.20	Guiseley - Hereford	0:1
21.12.19	Hereford - Guiseley	0:0
14.09.19	Guiseley - Hereford	3:0
23.03.19	Hereford - Guiseley	1:0
22.01.19	Guiseley - Hereford	1:1

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