Match Info

Date: 17 August 2021, Tuesday


	Guizhou		Nanjing City

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.2
	2.25	2.9	3.1
	2.29	2.85	3.1
	2.32	2.87	3.25
	2.2	2.88	3.2
	2.31	3.08	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (1.64)	2.92 ↓ (3.82)	3.18 ↓ (4.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guizhou
40.3%

Draw
31.1%

Nanjing City
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

24.3%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

19.9%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guizhou has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guizhou's form might have worsened.

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nanjing City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guizhou than the current prediction. (+29%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guizhou, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nanjing City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guizhou - Nanjing City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 13).

Recent matches Guizhou is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nanjing City is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guizhou will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guizhou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guizhou FC
Chinese Jia League
12.08.21	Jiangxi Lushan - Guizhou	0:1 ✺
07.08.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Guizhou	4:1 ✺
01.08.21	Guizhou - Shenzhen Peng City	0:0 ✺
28.07.21	Nanjing City - Guizhou	0:1 ✺
22.07.21	Guizhou - Jiangxi Lushan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLTWT
- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
12.08.21	Nanjing City - Shenzhen Peng City	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Wuhan Three Towns - Nanjing City	2:2 ✺
02.08.21	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2 ✺
28.07.21	Nanjing City - Guizhou	0:1 ✺
23.07.21	Shenzhen Peng City - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
28.07.21	Nanjing City - Guizhou	0:1

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