Match Info

Date: 27 October 2022, Thursday


	Nanjing City		Shaanxi Changan Athletic

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.82
	3.25	3.5	1.9
	3.65	3.55	1.81
	4.18	3.59	1.85
	3.75	3.25	1.85
	4	3.58	1.81
	3.75	3.65	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (4.93)	3.49 ↓ (3.59)	1.84 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nanjing City
24.4%

Draw
26.1%

Shaanxi Changan Athletic
49.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

25.3%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

24.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nanjing City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nanjing City's performance.

Shaanxi Changan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shaanxi Changan Athletic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nanjing City than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nanjing City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Changan Athletic than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shaanxi Changan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Nanjing City will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Shaanxi Changan will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shaanxi Changan: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5).

Recent matches Nanjing City is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shaanxi Chang'an is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Shaanxi Chang'an is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Nanjing City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nanjing City FC
Chinese Jia League
29.09.22	Nanjing City - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	2:1 ✺
25.09.22	Nanjing City - Zibo Cuju	2:3 ✺
20.09.22	Nanjing City - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
16.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard - Nanjing City	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLLTW
- Shaanxi Changan Athletic
Chinese Jia League
28.09.22	Zibo Cuju - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:3 ✺
25.09.22	Liaoning Tieren - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:2 ✺
21.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Xinjiang Tianshan Leopard	4:0 ✺
17.09.22	Suzhou Dongwu - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	1:0 ✺
10.09.22	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Zibo Cuju	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
02.08.21	Nanjing City - Shaanxi Changan Athletic	0:2
12.07.21	Shaanxi Changan Athletic - Nanjing City	2:0

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