Match Info

NPL ACT - Round 8

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Gungahlin United		Tuggeranong United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.2
	2.55	3.85	2.25
	2.57	4.24	2.17
	2.62	4.22	2.24	Watch
	2.62	3.6	2.2
	2.47	4.21	2.34	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (5.17)	3.96 ↓ (4.75)	2.24 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gungahlin United
35.6%

Draw
23.2%

Tuggeranong United
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.5%

19.1%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.9%

18.5%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gungahlin United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gungahlin United's performance.

Tuggeranong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuggeranong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gungahlin United than the current prediction. (-18.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gungahlin United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuggeranong United than the current prediction. (+24.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuggeranong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Gungahlin will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tuggeranong United will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Gungahlin (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tuggeranong United (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Gungahlin (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Tuggeranong United (1.42) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Gungahlin (votes: 6 - 60%). Tuggeranong United (votes: 4 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Robertson T. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Jambrek R. ⚽,
44', 2 - 1, Yoshida S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
56', 2 - 2, Foxall B. ⚽,
72', Byrnes. 🟥,
73', 2 - 3, Nealon S. ⚽,
90', 2 - 4, Emanuel N. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Capital Premier League and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gungahlin won 4.

Recent form of Gungahlin has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tuggeranong United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Tuggeranong United has had a series of away games.

Tuggeranong United is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Gungahlin won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Gungahlin won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:4. (average 2.6:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gungahlin United
Australian NPL ACT
24.05.25	Monaro Panthers - Gungahlin United	7:0 ✺
18.05.25	Gungahlin United - OConnor Knights	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Yoogali - Gungahlin United	5:1 ✺
02.05.25	Gungahlin United - Canberra Croatia	0:4 ✺
26.04.25	Tigers FC - Gungahlin United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLL
- Tuggeranong United
Australian NPL ACT
25.05.25	Canberra Croatia - Tuggeranong United	5:0 ✺
17.05.25	Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong United	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Tuggeranong United - OConnor Knights	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tigers FC - Tuggeranong United	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Yoogali - Tuggeranong United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL ACT
06.04.25	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	0:0
21.07.24	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	1:0
26.05.24	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	2:3
06.04.24	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	6:0
23.07.23	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	1:3
28.05.23	Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United	3:0
02.04.23	Tuggeranong United - Gungahlin United	1:4

Gungahlin United - Tuggeranong United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide