The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yoogali 37.9%
Draw 23.9%
Tuggeranong United 38.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
27.9%
20.2%
51.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.4%
20.6%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yoogali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yoogali's performance.
Tuggeranong United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tuggeranong United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yoogali than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yoogali that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuggeranong United than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tuggeranong United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yoogali - Tuggeranong United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
28', 0 - 1, Donadel J. (Own goal),
43', 0 - 2, Nealon S. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 0 - 3, ⚽,
61', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Tuggeranong United has had a series of home games.
Tuggeranong United could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yoogali won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:13. (average 0.8:2.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Yoogali won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).