Match Info

Tocantinense - Round 3

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Gurupi		União Carmolandense

	1	X	2
	3.05	2.72	2.42
	3.25	2.63	2.38
	3.24	2.7	2.41	Watch
	3	2.63	2.45
	3.24	2.66	2.4
	3.25	2.62	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.44)	2.66 ↓ (3.01)	2.41 ↓ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gurupi
28.5%

Draw
34%

União Carmolandense
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

30.4%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gurupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gurupi's form might have worsened.

União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting União Carmolandense's recent form is better than expected.

Gurupi - União Carmolandense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+6', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

União Carmolandense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gurupi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).

Including home match between the teams, Gurupi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gurupi
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
24.01.26	Araguaína - Gurupi	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Gurupi - Palmas	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Gurupi - Tocantinópolis	1:2 ✺
01.03.25	Tocantinópolis - Gurupi	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	União Carmolandense - Gurupi	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWLTW
- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
17.01.26	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.07.25	União Carmolandense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
20.07.25	Penedense - União Carmolandense	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	União Carmolandense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
15.02.25	União Carmolandense - Gurupi	0:3
10.02.24	Gurupi - União Carmolandense	0:1
04.03.23	União Carmolandense - Gurupi	0:0
26.02.22	União Carmolandense - Gurupi	2:1

Gurupi - União Carmolandense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide