Match Info

Serie D - Round 14

Date: 27 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Mirandão (Araguaína)


	União Carmolandense		Lagarto

	1	X	2
	3.1	2.95	2.15
	3.45	3.05	2.02
	3.61	3.12	2.04
	3.52	3.14	2.09	Watch
	3.88	3.04	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (3)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	2.05 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Carmolandense
25.9%

Draw
29.7%

Lagarto
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

29.2%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

28.3%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Carmolandense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Lagarto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagarto than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

União Carmolandense - Lagarto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Gustavo Gomes ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Lagarto is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Lagarto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lagarto might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Carmolandense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Serie D
20.07.25	Penedense - União Carmolandense	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	União Carmolandense - Jequié	1:0 ✺
06.07.25	Barcelona de Ilhéus - União Carmolandense	4:1 ✺
28.06.25	União Carmolandense - Juazeirense	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	União Carmolandense - Sergipe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWLWW
- Lagarto FC
Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Lagarto - Barcelona de Ilhéus	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Sergipe - Lagarto	1:2 ✺
06.07.25	Lagarto - Penedense	4:0 ✺
28.06.25	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Lagarto	1:0 ✺
16.06.25	Lagarto - Jequié	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.04.25	Lagarto - União Carmolandense	2:1

União Carmolandense - Lagarto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide