Match Info

K3 League - Round 20

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gyeongju Civic Stadium (Gyeongju)


	Gyeongju KH&NP		Changwon City

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.30	3.60
	1.85	3.15	3.75
	1.92	3.4	3.87
	1.91	3.36	3.77
	1.85	3.15	3.75
	1.84	3.2	3.95
	1.87	3.2	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.93)	3.25 (3.25)	3.77 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongju KH&NP
48.3%

Draw
27.8%

Changwon City
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

27.6%

26%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Changwon City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 7th and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongju KH&NP won 1.

Changwon may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Gyeongju KH&NP carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Gyeongju KH&NP in today's match, at odds of 1.88.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Gyeongju KH&NP has recorded 11 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:8 (averaging 1.3:0.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Gyeongju KH&NP against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 14:4 goals (averaging 1.4:0.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gyeongju KHNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	4	35
8	Changwon	23	7	8	8	26:28	-2	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
12.09.26	Gangneung - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:2 ✺
22.08.26	Yangpyeong - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:3 ✺
25.07.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Siheung	1:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Cheongju - Gyeongju KH&NP	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTWL
- Changwon City FC
South Korean K3 League
13.09.26	Siheung - Changwon City	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Changwon City - Daejeon Korail	0:1 ✺
22.08.26	Busan Kyotong - Changwon City	4:3 ✺
26.07.26	Changwon City - Jeonbuk 2	1:1 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Changwon City - Gimhae	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:2
04.10.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	0:0
07.06.25	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0
29.09.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	0:0
02.06.24	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:1
08.07.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Changwon City	3:0
24.03.23	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	0:0

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