Match Info
K3 League - Round 21Date: 5 September 2026, SaturdayLocation: Ulsan Complex Stadium (Ulsan)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Usa | SportsEngine Play |
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Ulsan Citizen |
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Gyeongju KH&NP |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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4.10 |
3.40 |
1.70 |
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4.3 |
3.35 |
1.68 |
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4.94 |
3.69 |
1.72 |
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4.28 |
3.46 |
1.77 |
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4.7 |
3.65 |
1.65 |
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4.38 |
3.76 |
1.74 |
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4.3 |
3.45 |
1.68 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.43 ↑
(3.45) |
3.54 ↑
(3.25) |
1.71 ↓
(1.93) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ulsan Citizen
20.6% | Draw
25.8% | Gyeongju KH&NP
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ulsan Citizen's form might have worsened.Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gyeongju KH&NP's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gyeongju KH&NP, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Gyeongju KH&NP will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gyeongju KH&NP (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 79', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 1.In recent matches, Ulsan Citizen has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Gyeongju KH&NP is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Ulsan Citizen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Gyeongju KH&NP could have a small edge in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Ulsan Citizen won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.5:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Ulsan Citizen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.6:2.4).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Gyeongju KHNP | 23 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 35:31 | 4 | 35 |
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| 9 | Ulsan Citizen | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:26 | -2 | 28 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Ulsan Citizen - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.98%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| South Korean K3 League | | | 25.04.26 | Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen | 2:2 | | 08.11.25 | Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen | 2:2 | | 28.06.25 | Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP | 3:4 | | 25.08.24 | Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP | 1:4 | | 28.04.24 | Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen | 1:2 | | 01.07.23 | Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen | 0:0 | | 18.03.23 | Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP | 2:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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