Match Info

K3 League - Round 8

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Gyeongju Civic Stadium (Gyeongju)


	Gyeongju KH&NP		Ulsan Citizen

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.4	4.65
	1.69	3.79	5.15
	1.66	3.72	4.63
	1.65	3.3	4.5
	1.75	3.77	4.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.84)	3.6 ↑ (3.36)	4.65 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gyeongju KH&NP
54.7%

Draw
25.5%

Ulsan Citizen
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

27%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.9%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gyeongju KH&NP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gyeongju KH&NP's performance.

Ulsan Citizen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongju KH&NP than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gyeongju KH&NP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulsan Citizen than the current prediction. (+4%)

Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
35', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
86', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gyeongju KH&NP won 2.

Gyeongju KH&NP is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ulsan Citizen has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gyeongju KH&NP is considered a favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Gyeongju KH&NP won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 1.9:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Gyeongju KH&NP won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Gyeongju KHNP	23	9	8	6	35:31	4	35
9	Ulsan Citizen	23	8	4	11	24:26	-2	28

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gyeongju KH&NP
South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Changwon City - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:2 ✺
11.04.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Yangpyeong	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Siheung - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Gyeongju KH&NP - Daejeon Korail	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Pocheon - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTL
- Ulsan Citizen FC
South Korean K3 League
19.04.26	Busan Kyotong - Ulsan Citizen	3:0 ✺
12.04.26	Ulsan Citizen - Jeonbuk 2	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Ulsan Citizen - Chuncheon	2:1 ✺
29.03.26	Yeoju - Ulsan Citizen	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Mokpo City - Ulsan Citizen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
08.11.25	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	2:2
28.06.25	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	3:4
25.08.24	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	1:4
28.04.24	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	1:2
01.07.23	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	0:0
18.03.23	Ulsan Citizen - Gyeongju KH&NP	2:1
20.08.22	Gyeongju KH&NP - Ulsan Citizen	2:0

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