Match Info

Korean Cup - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 August 2026, Wednesday

Location: Chuncheon Songam Stadium (Chuncheon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Gangwon		Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.7	Watch
	1.68	3.40	4.20
	2.12	3.2	3.1
	2.25	3.4	3.41
	2.1	3.25	3.51	Watch
	2.2	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.61	3.02	Watch
	2.23	3.3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.45)	3.34 ↓ (4.25)	3.27 ↓ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gangwon
43.7%

Draw
27.9%

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.9%

21.4%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8%

22.4%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gangwon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gangwon's form might have worsened.

Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gangwon than the current prediction. (+22.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gangwon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gangwon will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Seongnam will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gangwon (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Cho Min-Kyu (G) 26. Cho W. 14. Kang Y. 27. Kim Do-Hyun 6. Kim Dong-Hyun (C) 9. Kim Gun-Hee 39. Lee Ji-Ho 8. Lee Seung-Won 5. Mammar Chaouche A. 24. Park H. 47. Shin Min-Ha	1. Lee Kwang-Yeon (G) 14. Elionay 2. Hwang Seok-Ki 18. Kim Min-jae 27. Kwon Byeong-jun 36. Lee Jae-Wook 20. Lee Sang-Min (C) 4. Venicio 10. Villero P. 19. Yang Tae-yang 23. You Ju-An
Substitutes
74. Choe J. 3. Jeong Seung-Bin 21. Kim Jung-Hoon (G) 16. Kim Tae-Hwan 17. Lee E. 25. Lee H. 57. Lee Yong-Jae 19. Park Sang-Hyeok	52. Fujimori R. 13. Hong S. . Jeon M. 28. Joung Myung-jae (G) 22. Jung Seung-Yong 11. Lee Jun-Sang 17. Park Byeong-gyu 16. Ryu Jun-sun 5. Yu Sun

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', 🟨,
33', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
90+14', 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
107', 🟨,
Penalties (4 - 3)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 4.

Recent form of Gangwon has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Seongnam has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gangwon is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gangwon won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:17. (average 1.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Gangwon won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.1:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gangwon FC
South Korean K-League 1
16.08.26	Ulsan HD - Gangwon	2:3 ✺
AFC Champions League
11.08.26	Gangwon - Gamba Osaka	0:1 AET ✺
South Korean K-League 1
01.08.26	Gangwon - Bucheon	0:3 ✺
26.07.26	Anyang - Gangwon	2:1 ✺
21.07.26	Jeju - Gangwon	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLLT
- Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma
South Korean K-League 2
16.08.26	Paju Frontier - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Cheonan City	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Chungnam Asan - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimhae - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
18.07.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Busan I Park	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 1
10.09.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gangwon	0:4
02.07.22	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gangwon	0:2
20.02.22	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:0
04.12.21	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	2:1
26.09.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gangwon	2:0
26.06.21	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Gangwon	1:2
17.03.21	Gangwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0

Upcoming Matches