Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 July 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Turkey	S Sport+
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Górnik Zabrze		Fenerbahçe

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.20	1.60	Watch
	5.00	4.33	1.61
	4.90	4.30	1.58
	5.10	3.97	1.64
	6.04	4.39	1.52
	4.90	3.90	1.62
	5.10	4.28	1.61	Watch
	5.20	4.20	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (4.4)	4.2 ↑ (3.85)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
18.4%

Draw
22.5%

Fenerbahçe
59.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

24.5%

54%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Fenerbahçe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fenerbahçe's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.5%	12.9%	80.6%

Górnik Zabrze - Fenerbahçe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Fenerbahçe (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Fenerbahçe will win (50 of 61 users predict this - 81.97%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.32% – 91.62%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Fenerbahçe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Fenerbahçe (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schulze P. (G) 61. Sacek M. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. (C) 18. Sadilek L. 66. Dietz M. 82. Urbanski K. 7. Ikia Dimi Y. 11. Prekop E. 88. Ismaheel T.	34. Gunok M. (G) 27. Semedo N. 37. Skriniar M. (C) 15. Ake N. 24. Oosterwolde J. 6. Guendouzi M. 7. Fred 17. Kahveci I. 10. Asensio M. 9. Akturkoglu K. 94. Talisca
Substitutes
4. Bochniewicz P. 28. Donio B. 34. Durdov B. 29. Kania W. (G) 33. Khlan M. 23. Liseth S. 19. Peter Federico 36. Rakoczy M. 2. Warczak P. 21. Zmrzly O.	70. Aydin O. 3. Brown A. 13. Cetin T. (G) 31. Ederson (G) 28. Elmaz B. 11. Greenwood M. 22. Mercan L. 18. Muldur M. 20. Musaba A. 4. Soyuncu C. 5. Yuksek I.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Kartal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Sadilek L. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Talisca (Penalty Awarded),
28', Janza E. 🟨,
41', Oosterwolde J. 🟨,
45+10', 1 - 1, Sacek M. ⚽, Prekop E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Asensio M. ↓, Yuksek I. ↑,
46', Kahveci I. ↓, Greenwood M. ↑,
63', Dietz M. ↓, Khlan M. ↑,
63', Prekop E. ↓, Liseth S. ↑,
66', Janicki R. 🟨,
70', Josema 🟨,
70', Akturkoglu K. ↓, Musaba A. ↑,
73', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Peter Federico ↑,
80', Talisca ↓, Aydin O. ↑,
81', Sadilek L. ↓, Durdov B. ↑,
86', Semedo N. 🟨,
88', Semedo N. ↓, Muldur M. ↑,
90+1', Greenwood M. 🟨,
90+2', Fred 🟨,
90+3', Guendouzi M. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1.

Recent performances by Górnik Zabrze have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Górnik Zabrze may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Górnik Zabrze has had a series of away games.

In this match, Fenerbahçe is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Górnik Zabrze won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Fenerbahce: 0.55%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Fenerbahce	1	0	1	0	1:1	0	1

Last Results with these Odds

Fenerbahçe - the odds 1.75 are the expected chance of winning is 53.99%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.07.26	Górnik Zabrze - Śląsk Wrocław	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Polish Super Cup
16.07.26	Lech Poznań - Górnik Zabrze	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.07.26	Nordsjælland - Górnik Zabrze	0:2 ✺
04.07.26	Swarovski Tirol - Górnik Zabrze	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLLWT
- Fenerbahçe
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.07.26	LASK Linz - Fenerbahçe	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
08.07.26	Admira - Fenerbahçe	0:5 ✺
Turkish Super League
17.05.26	Fenerbahçe - Eyüpspor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Fenerbahçe - Górnik Zabrze	1:0

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