Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 13

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion im. Ernesta Pohla (Zabrze)

Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Poland	CANAL+ Premium, CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Spain	GolStadium
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Górnik Zabrze		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.08	3.35	3.3	Watch
	2.11	3.45	3.68
	2.01	3.23	3.97	Watch
	2.07	3.38	3.39	Watch
	2.2	3.03	2.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.3)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	3.49 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Górnik Zabrze
44.7%

Draw
28.5%

Jagiellonia Białystok
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

27.7%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Górnik Zabrze has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Górnik Zabrze than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	50%	12.5%

Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Górnik Zabrze will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (C) 5. Szczesniak K. 26. Janicki R. 20. Josema 64. Janza E. 18. Ambros L. 8. Hellebrand P. 14. Kubicki J. 30. Sow O. 23. Liseth S. 33. Khlan M.	22. Piekutowski M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 70. Pelmard A. 3. Stojinovic D. (C) 27. Wdowik B. 6. Romanczuk T. 31. Flach L. 7. Pozo A. 11. Imaz J. 72. Jozwiak K. 10. Pululu A.
Substitutes
25. Balabuch A. (G) 28. Donio B. 19. Dziegielewski N. 9. Gabriel Barbosa 79. Goh Young-Jun 81. Kmet M. 99. Loska T. (G) 17. Lukoszek K. 16. Olkowski P. 55. Pingot M. 10. Podolski L. 7. Zahovic L.	66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 25. Jackson A. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 86. Mazurek B. 80. Pietuszewski O. 5. Polak C. 18. Prip L. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y. 13. Vital B.
Coaches
Gasparik M.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Imaz J. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Hellebrand P. ⚽, Kubicki J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Szczesniak K. ↓, Olkowski P. ↑,
58', Pululu A. ↓, Rallis D. ↑,
58', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
58', Wojtuszek N. ↓, Pietuszewski O. ↑,
78', Kubicki J. ↓, Zahovic L. ↑,
81', Jozwiak K. ↓, Mazurek B. ↑,
86', Liseth S. ↓, Podolski L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Pozo A. (Own goal),
90+1', Pelmard A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
90+1', Ambros L. ↓, Pingot M. ↑,
90+6', Stojinovic D. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Górnik Zabrze may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Górnik Zabrze might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Górnik Zabrze won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:31. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Górnik Zabrze won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.9:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Górnik Zabrze
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Korona Kielce - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Górnik Zabrze - Legia Warsaw	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Cracovia - Górnik Zabrze	1:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Legia II - Górnik Zabrze	0:3 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
21.09.25	Górnik Zabrze - Widzew Łódź	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWTWW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa Conference League
23.10.25	Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
04.05.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	1:1
03.11.24	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:2
02.03.24	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:1
27.08.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	4:1
11.03.23	Jagiellonia Białystok - Górnik Zabrze	2:1
26.08.22	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1
14.02.22	Górnik Zabrze - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2

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