Match Info

Conference League - League phase - Round 2

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Bel D. (Cro)

Where to Watch on TV:


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United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+
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Usa	Paramount+
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Vietnam	ON Plus


	Strasbourg		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.5
	1.46	4.7	5.9
	1.5	4.84	6.29
	1.56	3.93	6.02	Watch
	1.49	4.84	6.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 (1.5)	4.61 ↑ (4.37)	5.98 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
63.4%

Draw
20.7%

Jagiellonia Białystok
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.5%

16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

20.8%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	4.5%	4.5%

Strasbourg - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Strasbourg (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Strasbourg will win (39 of 43 users predict this - 90.7%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.02% – 99.38%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strasbourg will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 12 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Penders M. (G) 42. Ouattara A. 22. Doue G. (C) 2. Omobamidele A. 24. Hogsberg L. 83. Luis R. 17. Amougou M. 80. Lemarechal F. 20. Godo M. 16. Paez K. 11. Nanasi S.	22. Piekutowski M. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 3. Stojinovic D. 13. Vital B. 27. Wdowik B. 31. Flach L. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 11. Imaz J. 7. Pozo A. 10. Pululu A. 80. Pietuszewski O.
Substitutes
50. Bajic S. (G) 32. Barco V. 6. Doukoure I. 29. El Mourabet S. 19. Enciso J. 60. Kerckaert G. (G) 37. Kodia G. 35. Lung S. 7. Moreira D. 9. Panichelli J.	19. Cantero A. 66. Damasiewicz A. (G) 8. Drachal D. 25. Jackson A. 4. Kobayashi Y. 21. Lozano S. 86. Mazurek B. 5. Polak C. 18. Prip L. 9. Rallis D. 17. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Romanczuk T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 0 - 1, Pozo A. ⚽, Romanczuk T. (A),
59', Amougou M. 🟨,
61', Nanasi S. ↓, Moreira D. ↑,
61', Ouattara A. ↓, Barco V. ↑,
62', Amougou M. ↓, Panichelli J. ↑,
72', Flach L. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
72', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Prip L. ↑,
72', Paez K. ↓, Enciso J. ↑,
75', Vital B. 🟨,
79', 1 - 1, Panichelli J. ⚽, Doue G. (A),
83', Pululu A. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
88', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
88', Sylla Y. 🟨,
90', Barco V. 🟨,
90+8', Pozo A. 🟨,

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Strasbourg is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Hamstring Injury) Sarr M. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury) Sylla A. (Inactive)

There will not play in Jagiellonia: Abramowicz S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Doukoure I. (Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
French Ligue 1
17.10.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Strasbourg	3:3 ✺
05.10.25	Strasbourg - Angers	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Slovan Bratislava - Strasbourg	1:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
26.09.25	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	1:2 ✺
21.09.25	Paris FC - Strasbourg	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWLW
- Jagiellonia Białystok
Polish Ekstraklasa
18.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Arka Gdynia	4:0 ✺
05.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Korona Kielce	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Jagiellonia Białystok - Hamrun Spartans	1:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
28.09.25	Lech Poznań - Jagiellonia Białystok	2:2 ✺
24.09.25	Legia Warsaw - Jagiellonia Białystok	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWWTT

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